National gasoline price analysis

Gas Price Posture

A directional dashboard for the U.S. national average, built around pump momentum plus 7, 14, and 30 day pressure windows.

Starting with AAA baseline + demo drivers Current average baseline: AAA 2026-10-02
Current National Average AAA baseline 2026-10-02
$4.3961
regular gasoline, dollars per gallon
Stable / Mixed

The model is waiting on live source data. Demo mode shows how the posture logic behaves across the 1-3, 7, 14, and 30 day windows.

30-Day Pressure Score Primary window
50
Mixed
30-day expected move
--
estimated cents per gallon, based on the same pressure drivers
Driver Stack Price pressure contributors
Trend View
National retail gas WTI crude Gasoline inventory
How To Read It Trading-window style

Pump Momentum is the 1-3 day indicator. It is designed as a confirmation and early-turn gauge, not a full forecast. 7-Day Bias is the short-term read. 14-Day Bias gives wholesale moves more time to reach the pump. 30-Day Outlook is the primary signal because gasoline prices move through a slower retail chain than index options. Expected moves are shown as rough cents-per-gallon ranges, not point predictions.

Sources And Limits First build
  • The displayed current national average is anchored to the AAA baseline; scheduled refreshes update the market drivers.
  • GitHub Actions attempts to use public EIA series for national retail gasoline trends, WTI crude, gasoline stocks, refinery utilization, and demand/product supplied.
  • Expected-move ranges estimate possible national-average change by horizon using retail momentum, crude pass-through, inventory, utilization, demand, and seasonal blend pressure.
  • Seasonal blend pressure is modeled from the calendar because summer and winter gasoline formulations change supply cost and availability.
  • If the scheduled data file is unavailable, the dashboard falls back to demo data and marks the status clearly.
Version 0.1 build. Directional analysis only, not a guarantee of future pump prices.